LACK OF DIVERSIFIED ECONOMIES LEADS TO CRISIS
– JOSEPH STIGLITZ
Professor Joseph Stiglitz says lack of
diversification within economies and inflation targeting are some of the major
factors that contribute towards the economic crisis. Professor Stiglitz was
speaking at an Economic Policy Dialogue that hosted by the Department of Trade
and Industry (the dti) in
Midrand today.
The
purpose of the dialogue was to encourage on-going and dynamic debate on
contemporary issues that impact on the South African society in general and the
economy in particular.
Professor Stiglitz said the lack of
diversification during the economic crisis exposed a number of countries in
that they could not stay competitive. He added that most diversified economies
managed the storm better by the way their economies are structured.
“A stable and competitive real exchange rate
can enhance economic diversification by making investment in the tradable
sector more profitable and making investment in tradable sector less
uncertain,” said Stiglitz.
Stiglitz also said small and medium enterprises,
manufacturing sector and exports opportunities hit when the country not
diversified and the exchange rate is volatile.
“A competitive exchange rate can be
viewed as a type of industrial policy that can partially substitute for other
traditional industrial policies but must also be complemented by the
implementation of those other policies that can move people out of poverty and
create jobs,” he said.
Stiglitz added that the real exchange rate
instability was a major source of uncertainly for the production of tradable
goods and services, and therefore discouraged investment in these sectors.
He warned against countries that keep their
currency over-valued and said it was not sustainable or competitive.
In his presentation, Professor Justin Barnes
said the rand was one of the most volatile currencies globally, and significantly
influenced amongst others by capital flows, and speculative attacks.
“Depreciation should lead to greater
competitiveness, exports and protection of less competitive domestic firms, but
raising import costs of production inputs. Conversely, appreciation supports
industries requiring imported technology and capital or that is
import-dependent for material or component inputs,” added Barnes.
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